What are central bank digital currencies actually for?

An open-source research project documenting the purpose, development stage and privacy design of central bank digital currencies from the official record. The current v10.2e release uses two independent language-model extractions, exact source-span verification, an explicit ensemble rule and a completed blind human audit; consensus adjudication remains work in progress.

The state of CBDCs around the world

DEVELOPMENT STAGE, DOCUMENTED PURPOSE AND PRIVACY POSTURE FROM THE CURRENT FROZEN CORPUS.

Every coloured jurisdiction is linked to the newest official stage evidence in the corpus. Hover to preview and click to pin the country panel. The panel also shows the ensemble purpose classification, exploratory privacy posture and the documents used in the extraction. Source PDFs are identified but not redistributed; the reproducibility manifest records filenames, page counts and hashes.

Hover over a country

Colours show the latest official development stage. Hover previews; click to pin the panel.

113
official or authority-attributed documents
3,963
frozen page units
6,949
deduplicated source-verified candidates
2
independent model providers

Why this dataset

STATUS TRACKERS SAY HOW FAR A PROJECT HAS MOVED. THEY DO NOT SAY WHAT IT IS FOR.

The same “pilot” label can cover projects aimed at payment modernisation, monetary sovereignty, financial inclusion or tighter state control. We therefore measure six purpose centres and keep privacy vocabulary separate from documented design posture. The corpus contains 113 documents and 3,963 page units; OpenAI and Claude produced 11,358 source-verified statements, deduplicated into 6,949 analytical candidates.

Four findings

CURRENT EXPLORATORY RESULTS — BLIND AUDIT COMPLETE, CONSENSUS ADJUDICATION OPEN.

1

Privacy language is not privacy commitment. Privacy-family frequency and documented posture correlate only r = 0.219 (95% CI [−0.102, 0.525], n = 39), about 4.8% shared variance.

2

No tested institutional condition survives multiplicity correction. The largest posture-side association is with informal-economy size (r = −0.286, 95% CI [−0.532, 0.007], Holm-adjusted p = 0.651). It is a lead for further research, not a confirmed effect.

3

Model choice changes the descriptive picture. Exact code-set agreement is 41.5% among candidates found by both providers, and 38.0% of union candidates come from only one provider. The paper therefore reports an equal-vote ensemble and provider-specific sensitivity.

4

Aggregate validity is similar, item-level agreement is limited. Reviewer-specific design-weighted validity is 78.6% and 76.1%, while inclusion agreement is 62.6% (Gwet’s AC1 = 0.426). The 77.3% midpoint is descriptive, not a final consensus estimate.

Privacy posture explorer

Compare each entity’s documented privacy posture with how much of its coded material belongs to the privacy family. The values are derived from the current v10.2e ensemble and remain exploratory because calibrated recall missed its frozen threshold and the completed blind audit has not yet been consensus-adjudicated.

Explore privacy posture

See the six purpose centres

Dominant CBDC purpose counts under the ensemble with OpenAI and Claude sensitivity markers
Ensemble dominant-purpose counts with provider-only sensitivity. The ensemble is the primary descriptive variant, not a human gold standard.

Provider sensitivity remains visible

Institutional correlation estimates under ensemble, OpenAI, Claude and consensus variants
Institutional correlations across the ensemble and provider-specific variants. None of the eight primary ensemble tests survives Holm correction.

Open by design

The repository exposes the frozen canonical provider outputs, provenance manifests, exact-span checks, ensemble rule, analysis scripts, completed paired human decisions and derived outputs. The independent blind phase covered 365 candidates and 36 dual-empty source units; all released pre-adjudication metrics can be regenerated from the public case-level files.

Inspect the process Download current outputs

Work in progress

v10.2e is a transparent research release, not a finished measurement standard. We are testing whether improving LLMs, a larger and better-balanced sample of official documents, and a more precisely operationalized family structure can improve recall, cross-provider stability and human coding agreement in future research.